Sunday April 19th

Headlines

  • Apparently Boris Johnson is not doing a very good job, according to the Sunday Times
  • https://archive.is/20200418182037/https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/coronavirus-38-days-when-britain-sleepwalked-into-disaster-hq3b9tlgh
  • There have now been 161,921 deaths from Covid-19 worldwide
  • The UK total (of deaths in hospital) is 16,060, 10% of the World's total
  • There are now 2,358,683 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in the world
  • Nobody knows how many there are in the UK because of the lack of testing
  • The UK faces a real crisis of PPE for health workers, care workers and other essential workers
  • Rumours are abounding, but have been denied by the Government, that schools are to reopen on May 25th as the lockdown is relaxed
  • The National Education Union has said that this could be a disaster as schools are not prepared in terms of PPE for teachers which may not be appropriate for primary schools in any case (Teachers demand answers over school reopening rumours)
  • Deaths yesterday were down to 596 but falls at weekends are usual
  • There is some indication on the trend chart (see below) that the trend in deaths is starting to move downward.

UK Stats

DateDays since first deathWeekly comparison figures
19/04/202045
  
Deaths16,0604,731deaths in the past week
New deaths59629% of deaths in the past week
Death Rate*13.38798Average new deaths each day (over past 7 days)
Increase in deaths over previous day (%)4.3
Adjusted deaths17,754Adjusted figures include 10% that are excluded from hospital figures
Adjusted daily deaths659
Adjusted death rate14.79   
Total tests carried out (persons)372,96782,247people tested in the past week
  in last 24 hours15,94412,942average of new tests (past 7 days) 
How many less than Governments target84,056   
  average per day since first death8,288   
Negative (n/%)68 -25% negative tests
Positive (n/%)23 35% more positive tests
  
Percent population UK tested0.55%0.12of the population tested since last week
*Please note that the death rate cited here is the number of deaths amongst those who have tested positive in tests. It should not be inferred from this that this is the proportion of the population who are likely to die.

4 Nations

CasesIncrease in cases over prevous day (%)DeathsNew deathsPercentage increase in deaths over previous day
England87,022413,9177846
Scotland7,8206837587
Wales6,9364534286
N. ireland2,48621761811
Data from 18th April

Trend

There is some hope in this trend line, although the trend remains upward (dotted line) the fact that the 7 day average is falling could show that the peak has been reached. It is, of course, too early to say for sure.

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