Sunday April 5th











Quote of the day:

"The measures to control [the disease] cause harm. The principal one is economic, and I don’t mean to the economy generally, I mean to the incomes of people who rely on a continuous stream of money and their children. If we carry on with lockdown it buys us more time, we can get more thought put into it, but it doesn’t resolve anything — it’s a placeholder.” Professor Graham Medley, of Imperial College London, senior adviser to the Prime Minister, arguing for a relation of physical distancing and a return to her immunity
"I do worry that making plans that assume such a large proportion of the population will become infected (and hopefully recovered and immune) may not be the very best that we can do.  Another strategy might be to try to contain longer and perhaps long enough for a therapy to emerge that might allow some kind of treatment." Prof Martin Hibberd, Professor of Emerging Infectious Disease, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, disagreeing

Comparison stat of the day

Public Health England releases data on GP consultations for 4 conditions: flu, vomiting, diarrhoea, and gastroenteritis.
Vomiting consultations are down from 15.2 per 100,000 population in 2019 to 9.7 per 100,000.
Diarrhoea consultations are down from 30.6 to 19.7 per 100,00 population.
Gastroenteritis consultations are down from 59.1 to 32.9 per 100,000 population.
Flu consultations are up from 4.7 to 10 per 100,000 population.

Headlines

  • There have now been1,205,801 Covid-19 confirmed cases world wide.
  • There have been 64,973 Covid-19 deaths world wide.
  • There have now been 4,313 Covid-19 related hospital deaths in the UK since March 5th.
  • Yesterday there were 708 new deaths, a new high.
  • The death rate (calculated by hospital deaths to positive tests) is now 10.3%
  • The UK has carried out 183,190 tests in total.
  • The daily average of tests is 6,101 (since the uK's first death on March 5th)
  • 77% of tests are negative
  • There are now 41,903 confirmed cases of Covid-19 (but these are only of those actually tested)
  • The Government have "promised" that there will be 100,000 tests per day by the end of April
  • Wales had a 16% increase, Scotland had an increase of 11% in confirmed cases (positive tests) over the previous day
  • Based on the available statistics and an overall death rate of 0.86% of confirmed cases, it is possible that 133,543 people in the UK will die from Covid-19 related deaths. The peak, meaning the point at which the death rate will start to come down could be 30th April. But, note these figures should be treated with extreme caution as they are based only on the known data and quite a lot of extrapolation.

UK Statistics

DateDays since first death
04/04/202030
  
Deaths4,313
New deaths708
Death Rate10.29
Increase in deaths over previous day (%)19.6
Total tests carried out183,190
Negative (n/%)141,28777%
Positive (n/%)41,90323%
  
Percent population UK tested0.27%

4 Nations

CasesIncrease in cases over prevous dayDeathsNew deathsPercentage increase in deaths over previous day
England34,70793,93963719
Scotland3,345111724637
Wales2,85316154139
N. ireland9982481233

English Regions

 Total confirmed casesIncrease over previous day (%)
 London 10,76432.23
 South East 4,17712.51
 South West 1,5364.60
 North West 4,09312.25
 East 2,6137.82
 Midlandss 6,12718.34
 North East/Yorkshire 4,09212.25

Covid 19 curves




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