Monday April 20th


Headlines

  • There have been 166,271 deaths worldwide
  • There have been 2,430,733 confirmed cases worldwide
  • The British Government continue to be criticised for only counting hospital deaths and not including deaths in care homes and at home which are included in the counts of other countries.
  • There have been 16,509 deaths in hospitals since March 5th
  • Yesterday a further 449 new deaths were recorded
  • This is the 2nd consecutive day in which the number of hospital deaths has fallen and the lowest daily rise since 6th April
  • The Government have published 5 tests for lifting the lockdown, one of which is new deaths falling though it is not clear for how many days. 
  • The World Health Organisation has published a list of 6 tests which should be met prior to a lockdown being eased (see below)
  • Government stats are being released later and later with national and regional data often lagging a day behind the UK stats. This is making it difficult to manage the data and calculate meaningful statistics.

Quote of the day

“The idea that the Prime Minister skipped meetings that were vital to our response to the coronavirus is grotesque” Michael Gove to Sky News' Sohpy Ridge in response to the Sunday Times revelations (full link in yesterdays blog). Number 10 have confirmed that Boris Johnson did indeed miss 5 COBRA meetings in January as reported.

NHS Workers Who Have Died

This picture wall of the 80 dead NHS staff was tweeted by Piers Morgan.

WHO 6 Tests

1. Disease transmission is under control
2. Health systems are able to "detect, test, isolate and treat every case and trace every contact"
3. Hot spot risks are minimized in vulnerable places, such as nursing homes
4. Schools, workplaces and other essential places have established preventive measures
5. The risk of importing new cases "can be managed"
6. Communities are fully educated, engaged and empowered to live under a new normal

UK Stats

DateDays since first deathWeekly comparison figures
20/04/202046
Deaths16,5094,402deaths in the past week
New deaths44927% of deaths in the past week
Death Rate*13.23734Average new deaths each day (over past 7 days)
Increase in deaths over previous day (%)4.32nd consecutive day new deaths have fallen
Adjusted deaths18,250Adjusted figures include 10% that are excluded from hospital figures
Adjusted daily deaths496
Adjusted death rate14.63
Total tests carried out (persons)386,04483,445people tested in the past week
  in last 24 hours13,07713,618average of new tests (past 7 days)
How many less than Governments target86,923
  average per day since first death8,392
Negative (n/%)68-25% negative tests
Positive (n/%)2433% more positive tests
Percent population UK tested0.57%0.12of the population tested since last week
*Please note that the death rate cited here is the number of deaths amongst those who have tested positive in tests. It should not be inferred from this that this is the proportion of the population who are likely to die.

4 Nations

CasesIncrease in cases over prevous day (%)DeathsNew deathsPercentage increase in deaths over previous day
England90,629414,3994823
Scotland8,1875893567
Wales7,2705575418
N. ireland2,64521931710
Data from 19th April

English Regions

Total confirmed cases
 London 20,215
 South East 11,471
 South West 4,222
 North West 12,687
 East 6,859
 Midlandss 13,498
 North East/Yorkshire 11,481
The Government has been slow to release some data and therefore I missed yesterday and cannot calculate a daily increase

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